A Probabilistic Model for Prediction of Life Based on Probabilistic Character of Defects in PM Alloys

WEI Da-sheng; YANG Xiao-guang; WANG Yan-rong

Chinese

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A Probabilistic Model for Prediction of Life Based on Probabilistic Character of Defects in PM Alloys

更新时间：2026-07-07

- A Probabilistic Model for Prediction of Life Based on Probabilistic Character of Defects in PM Alloys
- Vol. 20, Issue 6, (2005)
- 作者机构：
  
  北京航空航天大学能源与动力工程学院,北京,100083
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2005
- 稿件说明：
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WEI Da-sheng, YANG Xiao-guang, WANG Yan-rong. A Probabilistic Model for Prediction of Life Based on Probabilistic Character of Defects in PM Alloys[J]. 2005, 20(6).
DOI：

WEI Da-sheng, YANG Xiao-guang, WANG Yan-rong. A Probabilistic Model for Prediction of Life Based on Probabilistic Character of Defects in PM Alloys[J]. 2005, 20(6). DOI：

摘要

粉末冶金材料由于其制造工艺的特点

强度和寿命对微缺陷（夹杂、气孔、表面划伤）十分敏感

导致了粉末冶金材料的破坏具有较大的分散性

使得寿命预测更为困难。本文根据国内粉末材料中缺陷的分布特点

基于文献[79]中概率断裂分析的思路

对原有方法进行了修正和推广

重新给出了缺陷在表面、亚表面以及内部时的定义及缺陷在这些不同位置时出现概率断裂的确定方法

建立了一个可考虑缺陷形状、大小、位置等分布特征的粉末冶金材料寿命预测概率模型

并基于此计算了不同尺寸缺陷位于不同位置时材料的失效概率及总失效概率。分析表明:所给出的方法可以很好的表征国内工艺条件下粉末冶金材料缺陷的概率特征对强度寿命的影响

方法是有效的。

Abstract

Due to manufacturing characteristic

the strength and life of powder metallurgy alloy are sensitive to micro defects

such as nonmetallic inclusion

pores

and nicks on the surface.A distinct character of failure of this kind of material is scatter

which makes life prediction more difficult.In this paper

based on the defect populations of domestic PM alloy and some probability failure methods established in reference

definition of the probability for the presence of a defect inside the surface

sub-surface and internal region is given first

and then a probabilistic model is set up

which can calculate the failure probability caused by defects having different shapes and different sizes

being in different regions

and also can calculate the total failure probability.It is concluded that the method can describe the effect of probabilistic character of defects on the strength and life of PM alloy

and it is proved to be valid.

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Related Institution

School of Mechanics, Civil Engineering and Architecture, Northwestern Polytechnical University

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北京航空航天大学能源与动力工程学院

先进航空发动机协同创新中心

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