1. 空军预警学院 防空预警装备系,武汉,430019
2. 海军工程大学 管理工程与装备经济系,武汉,430033
纸质出版:2021
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何有宸, 狄鹏, 陈童, 等. 考虑失效相关的两类主辅并联系统模糊可靠性分析[J]. 哈尔滨工业大学学报, 2021,53(8):92-102.
HE Youchen, DI Peng, CHEN Tong, et al. Fuzzy reliability analysis of two kinds of main and auxiliary repairable parallel systems with failure-correlation[J]. 2021, 53(8): 92-102.
何有宸, 狄鹏, 陈童, 等. 考虑失效相关的两类主辅并联系统模糊可靠性分析[J]. 哈尔滨工业大学学报, 2021,53(8):92-102. DOI: 10.11918/202009074.
HE Youchen, DI Peng, CHEN Tong, et al. Fuzzy reliability analysis of two kinds of main and auxiliary repairable parallel systems with failure-correlation[J]. 2021, 53(8): 92-102. DOI: 10.11918/202009074.
长期运行的劣化累积和复杂多变的外部环境导致系统性能水平存在不确定性
单纯精确的定量描述可能会对系统性能水平区间估计过窄
已不满足工程计算实际。同时
部件间的失效相关现象是影响系统可靠性的又一重要因素
忽视失效相关将导致对系统可靠性指标评估过高
从而影响维修力量分配及备件储存
不利于系统长期稳定运行。对此
本文以多状态部件构成的主、辅单元并联可修系统为对象
将部件失效转移率、修复转移率及状态性能水平均视为模糊数的同时
将系统部件的失效相关性纳入研究范围
分别对工程中常见的两类主辅并联系统进行可靠性分析。建立了模糊失效相关主辅并联多状态可修系统模型及状态转移微分方程组
得到了系统的模糊状态概率。应用α水平截集及Zadeh扩张原理
确定了模糊状态概率和系统稳态可用度的截集区间
并通过工程实例给出了稳态指标随部件参数模糊程度变动的情况
为研究复杂条件下多状态系统失效相关问题提供了参考
有利于工程设计中的维修保障优化。
Due to the long-run accumulation and the complex and changeable external environment
the performance level of a system is uncertain. Accurate quantitative description may cause the interval estimation of the system performance level to be too narrow
which already cannot fulfill the engineering calculation in practice. Meanwhile
failure-correlation is another important factor affecting the reliability of the system. Ignoring failure-correlation can lead to the overestimation of the system reliability
which affects the distribution of maintenance force and the storage of spare components
and is not conducive to the long-term stable operation of the system. Therefore
taking the parallel repairable system of main and auxiliary units composed of multi-state components as research object
the failure transfer rate
repair transfer rate
and state performance level of the components were regarded as fuzzy numbers
and the failure-correlation of the system components was investigated. The reliability analysis of two typical kinds of main and auxiliary parallel systems were carried out. The model for fuzzy multi-state main and auxiliary repairable parallel system with failure-correlation and the fuzzy state transfer differential equations were established
and the fuzzy state probability of the system was obtained. By using the α-level truncation set and the Zadeh-expansion principle
the truncated set interval of the fuzzy state probability and the steady state availability of the system was determined. The steady measures of the system were obtained
and the influence of the fuzzy degree of component parameters on the steady measures was given by numeral application
which provides reference for the study on the failure-correlation of multi-state systems under complex conditions
and is conducive to the optimization of maintenance support in engineering design.
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